When our Constitution was crafted, the average life expectancy
in the U.S. was barely 36 years, and the median age was a mere 16. In this
regard, we are living in truly uncharted territory and longevity is humanity's
new frontier.
As the baby boomers turn 70 at the rate of 10,000 a day,
America is becoming a "gerontocracy." Already, 42% of the entire
federal budget is spent on Medicare and Social Security.
And according to the Congressional Budget Office, this will
exceed 50% by 2030. In the 2012 election, older adults out-powered all other
age groups with 72% of men and women 65+ voting, while only 45% of those 18-29
did.
This demographic transformation will create new social
contribution and marketplace opportunities, as well as potentially devastating
medical, fiscal, and intergenerational crises.
Are we prepared? No. Are the candidates addressing this age
wave and offering innovative solutions? No. WHY NOT?
These are the questions being asked by Ken Dychtwald,
PhD, author of 16 books on aging related issues and CEO of Age Wave. Based on
his 40 years of research, dialogue, and analysis, Dr. Dychtwald believes there
are five essential transpartisan issues that must be addressed if
our newfound longevity is to be a triumph rather than a tragedy.
Issue #1: What is the new age of
"old?"
Our economy is hinged to 19th century notions
of longevity and old age. When Otto Von Bismarck picked 65 to be the
marker of old age in the 1880s, the average life expectancy in his country was
only 45. Similarly, when Social Security began, the average American could
expect to live only 62 years, and there were 42 workers paying for each
"aged" recipient. Today life expectancy is approaching 79, and due to
decades of declining fertility, there are fewer than three workers to pay for
each recipient. And we have to ask, is 65—or even 67—the right marker of old
age in the 21st century? As our demography continues to tilt
older, the economic impact of these numbers on working Americans will be massive.
This is not a Democrat or Republican issue. This is not an issue that only
impacts "seniors." The designated age of "old" in the 21st century
is a demographic/social/economic issue that will affect us all. Left unchanged,
it will have a particularly brutal impact on the millennial generation.
Issue #2: The diseases of aging could be the
financial and emotional sinkhole into which the 21st century
falls.
As a result of modern medical advances and public health
infrastructure, we've managed to prolong the lifespan, but we have done far too
little to extend the healthspan—with pandemics of heart disease, cancer,
stroke, Alzheimer's, and diabetes. In addition to being quite costly, our
healthcare system is incompetent at preventing and treating the complex
conditions of later life. For example, Alzheimer's (and related dementias) now
afflicts one in two people over 85, and it has become the nation's scariest
disease. Unless there is a breakthrough, its sufferers are anticipated to grow
from 5+ million today to 15+ million, with its cumulative costs soaring
to $20 trillion by 2050. But our scientific priorities are out of
synch: for every dollar currently spent on Alzheimer's care, less than half a
cent is being spent on innovative scientific research. Our doctors are also not
aging-ready. We have more than 50,000 pediatricians, but fewer than 5,000
geriatricians. Only eight of the country's 145 academic medical centers have
full geriatrics departments, and 97% of U.S. medical students don't take a
single course in geriatrics.
Issue #3: Averting a new era of mass elder poverty
According to the Government Accounting Office, roughly half
(52%) of all households near retirement (headed by someone age 55+) have NO
retirement savings and about half (51%) of our population have no pensions
beyond Social Security. We could be heading to a future in which tens of
millions of impoverished aging boomers will place crushing burdens on the U.S.
economy and on the generations forced to support them. On top of this, we are not
fostering financial literacy or responsibility among the young. For example, 37
states require providing sex education to high school students by law, while
only 17 states require financial education.
Issue #4: Ending ageism
In Colonial times, elders were respected and honored for their
wisdom and experience. During the industrial era, all of that turned upside
down. Now, in our youth-focused society, many people of all ages are
gerontophobic—uncomfortable both with older adults and their own aging process.
And many institutions—from urban planning, to technology, to employment hiring
practices, to housing, to popular media (where advertisers will pay networks
far more for a 30-year-old viewer than one who is 60) are both youth-centric
and ageist. For example, our homes were not built for aging bodies: less than
2% of our housing stock is built to be safe and accessible for elders (and 1/3
of the elderly fall each year).
Issue #5: The new purpose of maturity
Today's retirees feel they are in the best time in their lives
to give back. And they do: contributing both more dollars and volunteer time
than any other age group—doing everything from teaching schoolchildren to read,
to helping their peers recover from loss, to building homes for Habitat for
Humanity. Going forward, medical science will increasingly prolong life. But
political, religious, and community leaders have yet to create a compelling
vision for the purpose of those additional years. For example, our 68 million
retirees currently spend an average of 49 hours a week watching television.
Ultimately, the problem may not be our growing legions of older adults, it may
be our absence of imagination, creativity, and leadership regarding what to do
with all of this maturity, experience, and longevity.
A letter is being sent to each major candidate
asking them to articulate their views on these five critical issues.
A written copy of Dr. Dychtwald's views and a recording of
his April 21 press briefing, including the specific questions
on these issues that he believes the candidates must address – with
fact sheets and related data and sources, can be accessed at www.agewave.com/candidates.
About Age Wave
Founded in 1986, Age Wave is a pioneer in the exploration of
the impact of the longevity revolution. Under the leadership of
Founder/CEO Ken Dychtwald, PhD, Age Wave advises businesses and
non-profits worldwide on the opportunities and challenges of an aging
population.
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